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bear by san

March 2017

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bear by san

Sitting vigil. Reaping the whirlwind. And so forth.

sartorias on her family's reaction to television coverage of Katrina:  And everybody looks at the TV and leans left.

I am not eager to be right about this.

Especially since the next book I was thinking of writing would take place in that setting. And on strictly selfish level, I'm pretty sure I couldn't stomach writing it under those circumstances.

And this thing is a freight train the size of Florida.

(For those of you not in North America who have somehow missed this, the sixth strongest Atlantic hurricane in recorded history is bearing down on New Orleans, which is below sea level, protected by levees that will not withstand this storm, and not particularly evacuable, though they're trying. She's expected to worsen before she makes landfall Monday morning. Making Light has a roundup and speculation here: Not your usual weather disaster.)

If you're a praying type, it wouldn't hurt.

Comments

Not usually the praying kind, but this is definitely an exception to that. New Orleans begs to be a setting for a book. I'm looking forward to reading 'Hammered', by the way. Gotta finish a piece of my own first. I'm saving your book as motivation.
Well, thank you. I hope you enjoy it.

And good luck on yours!
This is going to be dreadful. I sincerely hope everyone I know down that way got the hell out of there. Anyone have tabs on Bob Asprin?
Poppy Brite is saying she's going to ride it out. That's the only SFF community news I have.

You could ask over on Making Light--if anybody knows, they'll probably be over there.
I know Poppy was saying that, but is she still now that a mandatory evacuation has been ordered? No one's going to care about her car being a rental under these circumstances. But she wouldn't be able to get all her pets in the car.
The only information I have is what's in her blog. You could email Caitlin Kiernan and see if she knows anything she can share.
She seems to be out safe. Unfortunately, without most of the pets.

Keeping fingers crossed for New Orleans

I don't know what to say. I've been the the middle of natural disasters before and it's no fun.
Doesn't hurt to start looking at budgeting a dollar or two for the Red Cross or other aid organizations...they're going to need every bit of help they can get to deal with this one.
No, no, it's been all over the news here in the UK also. Plus, I have a friend who recently moved to Baton Rouge who's hoping she's far enough away; a good chunk of New Orleans seems to have arrived there today, she says.

I get all my news from LJ

Geez. I had no idea it was this bad. All I've been hearing in MD is that it might bring us some rain to help with the dry summer we've been having.

I'll cross my fingers and toes. Damn.

Re: I get all my news from LJ

*clings*

Re: I get all my news from LJ

*clings back as best as can, whar awith dingers and oes xcrossed, hard to type like this*
It's just barely begun making the "man bites dog" slot at the end of the news in the UK.

After the humanitarian side of things, what worries me personally (from the other side of the planet) are the predictions I've been seeing on the AP newswire over the past hour or two that crude is going to spike over $71 a barrel as early as Monday or Tuesday; it seems that part of the world is an important service area for offshore oil production in the gulf.
Yes. That's a major problem. In more general terms, I'm getting an increasing sense of breakpoint-in-history. We're riding a cusp here.

Those suck.
I'm getting an increasing sense of breakpoint-in-history.

I know what you mean. I feel it. I think a lot of us do, and it's hard to quite articulate why or go into details without sounding like we're slipping into tinfoil hat territory. If I felt remotely articulate about it, I'd want to write up something, or at least start up an LJ community that discusses such things.
In more general terms, I'm getting an increasing sense of breakpoint-in-history. We're riding a cusp here.

Those suck.


*curious* How do you mean? Have such things been mapped? Do great big historical breakpoints really come all at once?
Cusps? Yup. Things pile up and pile up and pile up... and essentially what seems like a series of small changes becomes a landslide. It happens socially, evolutionarily, and physically.

Punctuated equilibrium.
Cusps? Yup. Things pile up and pile up and pile up... and essentially what seems like a series of small changes becomes a landslide. It happens socially, evolutionarily, and physically.

Punctuated equilibrium.


Are there any books you can think of at the moment that deal with the idea indepth? I'd really like to look into it further.
Um. You can try Stephen Jay Gould for the evolutionary version of the theory, and an explanation of how it works. But I couldn't point you at a specific resource right now.

You might try googling "puntuated equilibrium." And maybe "Catastrophism," though I think that term is mostly reserved for the discredited 19th century version of the idea.
From the NYTimes today:

In an interview later with CNN, the mayor also referred to the potential impact the hurricane could have on the oil supply from the vulnerable area.

"The real issue - that I don't think the nation is paying attention to - is that through the city of New Orleans, through the Gulf of Mexico, we probably deal with almost a third of the nation's domestic oil that is produced. And that will most likely be shut down," Mr. Nagin said.

"So, this can have a significant impact on oil prices going forward," he added.
It's worse than that.

A huge amount of the US crude imports go through the harbor there, so the secondary distruptions (even if the harbor survives, and the roads/pipes, refineries don't get wiped out, there will be other things which need immediate fixing) are going to have disproportionately large effect.

TK
FYI, check prime_liquor for updates on Poppy, if they're able to make them.
Hey, I have New Orleans and parts of Texas underwater. What more do you want from me?